{"id":974,"date":"2012-06-18T23:12:52","date_gmt":"2012-06-18T17:42:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/peacewatchkashmir.com\/blog\/?p=974"},"modified":"2012-06-18T23:57:27","modified_gmt":"2012-06-18T18:27:27","slug":"looking-at-2014-from-kashmir-perspective","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peacewatchkashmir.com\/blog\/editors-take\/looking-at-2014-from-kashmir-perspective\/","title":{"rendered":"Looking at 2014 From Kashmir Perspective"},"content":{"rendered":"<\/fb:like>

It is not going to be same. TIt is not going to be same. Two crucial years are ahead, not for Kashmir only but for the entire Southwest Asian region. True, Washington and its NATO allies have envisioned their future in the region after 2014, but it would be too early to predict with absolute authority about the shape of thing to come. Ostensibly, the emerging scenario holds less of promise and more of peril.\"\"<\/a>
\nThere are more of questions than answers about the climax. One of the important questions that have been bothering experts in the region is that if South Asia was not once again slipping\u00a0\u00a0 into the cold war and New Delhi was not becoming its front- ranked ally of US in the region.\u00a0 This\u00a0 South Asian concern is not shared by\u00a0 scholars and experts\u00a0 in the West\u00a0\u00a0 but what they seem concerned about is, \u201cwhether America’s hour of power had passed\u201d.\u00a0 Some are \u2018lamenting\u2019 if world without global policeman would \u2018be volatile and ungovernable. And if the international institution would lose their capacity to solve the pressing international problems. \u2018The America is a declining influence in the world\u2019 is the buzzword with many important American scholars.\u00a0 \u2018Many books have hit the stands about fading Western primacy and emerging multi-polar and pluralistic world.\u00a0 A Pakistani analyst\u00a0 Dr. Maleeha Lodhi in her recent article\u00a0 \u201c A Leaderless\u00a0 World\u201d published in the News, has rightly put it:
\n\u201cWhat is welcome is the call in these books for the US to adopt a more realistic global role consistent with its reduced leverage and diminished power, learn to work with others, and adapt both its policy and narrative to a world with many centers of power and political values different from its own.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>The geopolitical realignments in Southwest Asia will sharpen as the US and NATO troops prepare to depart from Afghanistan. The meeting between US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Indian Foreign Minister S.M. Krishna in Washington on Wednesday (13-6-2012) was indicative that United States as against its old ally Pakistan in the region was looking upon India as its most important ally in the region. The United States removed \u2018long source of \u2018disappointment\u2019 and dispelled doubts over relations of the two countries by signing a nuclear power deal. This deal further strengthened bonds of strategic partnership between the two countries.\u00a0 In 2008 former, President George W Bush had recognized \u2018India\u2019s global stature by giving it access to civilian nuclear technology. Hillary Clinton described the deal as \u201clandmark.\u201d\u00a0 New Delhi and Washington according to a Western news agency AFP are pursuing \u2018a common cause on security issues in Afghanistan.\u00a0 \u201cIndia is one of the most enthusiastic supporters of US-led efforts in Afghanistan as extremists consider New Delhi a top target.\u201d
\nThe United States in its relation with India is going an extra-mile, subject specialists believe that it cannot be without an agenda. Antatol Lieven in his book Pakistan A Hard Country observes, \u201c We should not also dream- as US neo-conservative are apt-to do \u2013 that India can somehow be used by the US to control Pakistani behavior. The truth, as outlined by Ambassador Patterson, is exactly the opposite. Only Pakistanis can control Pakistan.\u201d (page481). Emphasizing importance of Pakistan the author writes, \u201cA new approach to Pakistani over future of Afghanistan should therefore be part of much deeper long-term engagement with Pakistan the West in general, and one tied not to the temporary war in Afghanistan but to the permanent importance of Pakistan as a state.\u201d
\nAnother question that has been engaging the attention of experts on\u00a0 Southwest Asia\u00a0 is that if New Delhi is not aligning itself with Washington to the disadvantage of its relations with its neighbors. Hilary Clinton welcomed India\u2019s reduction of oil purchase from Iran. And exempted India from US sanctions on countries that maintain good relations and trade with Iran despite Israeli and Western concerns over its nuclear program.\u2019\"\"<\/a>
\nAlex Vatanka, a Middle East Institute Scholars believes that United States may shortly be caught in catch22 situation on its Iran question in Afghanistan. He sees China, Russia and Iran entering into a partnership for converting the Afghanistan to their advantage.\u00a0 In an\u00a0\u00a0 op-ed article that first appeared in Frontline’s “Tehran Bureau” on
\nJune 11, 2012 and was circulated by the Middle East Institute, he wrote:
\n\u201cMost notably, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) — dubbed as\u00a0 NATO of the East — has recently been holding itself out as an alternative mechanism to fill the vacuum once Western troops depart from Afghanistan. At the June 6-7 SCO summit in Beijing, China successfully drew Afghanistan further into its orbit. Kabul was granted observer status and Turkey was accepted as a dialogue partner in the Eurasian collective security body. Russia and China are the undisputed leaders in the six-state SCO and Iran has an observer state since 2005.\u201d
\nIn the building scenario the author believes that policy makers in US will be forced to reassure their goals in Afghanistan and policy objective of excluding Tehran. \u2018At the same time, the Afghan authorities are also clearly contemplating the country’s long-term needs, and whether they will heed U.S. pressures remains unknown.\u2019
\nThe emerging scenario by all stretch imagination does not hold a\u00a0\u00a0 promise for enduring peace in the region. But, largely suggests the region entering into yet another phase of neo-cold war. If history of the cold war in the region is guide, Kashmir cannot escape its impact.
\nIn the building scenario, the regional players will have more a role in resolution of conflict in the region than the Western powers.\u00a0 Kashmir leaders are conscious about the emerging scenario in the region. Some have also written analytical pieces in the newspapers.
\nIn the building scenario, most disturbing aspect is the damp home turf- with dissension deepening in an important organization threatening its very existence.
\nThere are more of questions than answers about the climax. One of the important questions that have been bothering experts in the region is that if South Asia was not once again slipping\u00a0\u00a0 into the cold war and New Delhi was not becoming its front- ranked ally of US in the region.\u00a0 This\u00a0 South Asian concern is not shared by\u00a0 scholars and experts\u00a0 in the West\u00a0\u00a0 but what they seem concerned about is, \u201cwhether America’s hour of power had passed\u201d.\u00a0 Some are \u2018lamenting\u2019 if world without global policeman would \u2018be volatile and ungovernable. And if the international institution would lose their capacity to solve the pressing international problems. \u2018The America is a declining influence in the world\u2019 is the buzzword with many important American scholars.\u00a0 \u2018Many books have hit the stands about fading Western primacy and emerging multi-polar and pluralistic world.\u00a0 A Pakistani analyst\u00a0 Dr. Maleeha Lodhi in her recent article\u00a0 \u201c A Leaderless\u00a0 World\u201d published in the News, has rightly put it:
\n\u201cWhat is welcome is the call in these books for the US to adopt a more realistic global role consistent with its reduced leverage and diminished power, learn to work with others, and adapt both its policy and narrative to a world with many centers of power and political values different from its own.\u201d
\nThe geopolitical realignments in Southwest Asia will sharpen as the US and NATO troops prepare to depart from Afghanistan. The meeting between US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Indian Foreign Minister S.M. Krishna in Washington on Wednesday (13-6-2012) was indicative that United States as against its old ally Pakistan in the region was looking upon India as its most important ally in the region. The United States removed \u2018long source of \u2018disappointment\u2019 and dispelled doubts over relations of the two countries by signing a nuclear power deal. This deal further strengthened bonds of strategic partnership between the two countries.\u00a0 In 2008 former, President George W Bush had recognized \u2018India\u2019s global stature by giving it access to civilian nuclear technology. Hillary Clinton described the deal as \u201clandmark.\u201d\u00a0 New Delhi and Washington according to a Western news agency AFP are pursuing \u2018a common cause on security issues in Afghanistan.\u00a0 \u201cIndia is one of the most enthusiastic supporters of US-led efforts in Afghanistan as extremists consider New Delhi a top target.\u201d
\nThe United States in its relation with India is going an extra-mile, subject specialists believe that it cannot be without an agenda. Antatol Lieven in his book Pakistan A Hard Country observes, \u201c We should not also dream- as US neo-conservative are apt-to do \u2013 that India can somehow be used by the US to control Pakistani behavior. The truth, as outlined by Ambassador Patterson, is exactly the opposite. Only Pakistanis can control Pakistan.\u201d (page481). Emphasizing importance of Pakistan the author writes, \u201cA new approach to Pakistani over future of Afghanistan should therefore be part of much deeper long-term engagement with Pakistan the West in general, and one tied not to the temporary war in Afghanistan but to the permanent importance of Pakistan as a state.\u201d
\nAnother question that has been engaging the attention of experts on\u00a0 Southwest Asia\u00a0 is that if New Delhi is not aligning itself with Washington to the disadvantage of its relations with its neighbors. Hilary Clinton welcomed India\u2019s reduction of oil purchase from Iran. And exempted India from US sanctions on countries that maintain good relations and trade with Iran despite Israeli and Western concerns over its nuclear program.\u2019
\nAlex Vatanka, a Middle East Institute Scholars believes that United States may shortly be caught in catch22 situation on its Iran question in Afghanistan. He sees China, Russia and Iran entering into a partnership for converting the Afghanistan to their advantage.\u00a0 In an\u00a0\u00a0 op-ed article that first appeared in Frontline’s “Tehran Bureau” on
\nJune 11, 2012 and was circulated by the Middle East Institute, he wrote:
\n\u201cMost notably, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) — dubbed as\u00a0 NATO of the East — has recently been holding itself out as an alternative mechanism to fill the vacuum once Western troops depart from Afghanistan. At the June 6-7 SCO summit in Beijing, China successfully drew Afghanistan further into its orbit. Kabul was granted observer status and Turkey was accepted as a dialogue partner in the Eurasian collective security body. Russia and China are the undisputed leaders in the six-state SCO and Iran has an observer state since 2005.\u201d
\nIn the building scenario the author believes that policy makers in US will be forced to reassure their goals in Afghanistan and policy objective of excluding Tehran. \u2018At the same time, the Afghan authorities are also clearly contemplating the country’s long-term needs, and whether they will heed U.S. pressures remains unknown.\u2019
\nThe emerging scenario by all stretch imagination does not hold a\u00a0\u00a0 promise for enduring peace in the region. But, largely suggests the region entering into yet another phase of neo-cold war. If history of the cold war in the region is guide, Kashmir cannot escape its impact.
\nIn the building scenario, the regional players will have more a role in resolution of conflict in the region than the Western powers.\u00a0 Kashmir leaders are conscious about the emerging scenario in the region. Some have also written analytical pieces in the newspapers.
\nIn the building scenario, most disturbing aspect is the damp home turf- with dissension deepening in an important organization threatening its very existence.<\/p>\n<\/fb:like><\/span>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It is not going to be same. TIt is not going to be same. Two crucial years are ahead, not for Kashmir only but for the entire Southwest Asian region. True, Washington and its NATO allies have envisioned their future in the region after 2014, but it would be too early to predict with absolute authority about the shape of thing to come. Ostensibly, the emerging scenario holds less of promise and more of peril.
\nThere are more of questions than answers about the climax. One of the important questions that have been bothering experts in the region is that if South Asia was not once again slipping\u00a0\u00a0 into the cold war and New Delhi was not becoming its front- ranked ally of US in the region.\u00a0 This\u00a0 South Asian concern is not shared by\u00a0 scholars and experts\u00a0 in the West\u00a0\u00a0 but what they seem concerned about is, \u201cwhether America’s hour …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[27,8,20,34],"class_list":["post-974","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-editors-take","tag-indo-pak","tag-kashmir","tag-peacewatch","tag-z-g-muhmmad"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/peacewatchkashmir.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/974"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/peacewatchkashmir.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/peacewatchkashmir.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peacewatchkashmir.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peacewatchkashmir.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=974"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/peacewatchkashmir.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/974\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":976,"href":"https:\/\/peacewatchkashmir.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/974\/revisions\/976"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/peacewatchkashmir.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=974"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peacewatchkashmir.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=974"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peacewatchkashmir.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=974"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}